Slb N.V. logo SLB - Slb N.V.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 56
HOLD 6
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.27 DETAILS
HIGH: $71.00
LOW: $48.00
MEDIAN: $62.00
CONSENSUS: $60.27
UPSIDE: 26.19%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Oil & Gas E&P 85% confidence

Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Mild
Trading 6.9% above fair value
Current Price $47.76
Bear Case $23.94 49.9% downside ($23.94 - $47.76) / $47.76 = -49.9% FCF $3716M × 10x
Fair Value $44.68 6.5% downside ($44.68 - $47.76) / $47.76 = -6.5% FCF $4795M × 13x
Bull Case $70.75 48.1% upside ($70.75 - $47.76) / $47.76 = 48.1% FCF $5874M × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

75.0$/bbl
13.0x

Key Value Driver

Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)

Implied Market Multiple 16.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on free cash flow under different commodity price assumptions and a valuation multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $60.27 from 66 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $44.68 per share.

Warnings

Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $60.27 (from 66 analysts). Our estimate is 40% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
  • Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
  • Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential