Silicon Laboratories Inc. logo SLAB - Silicon Laboratories Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 23
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $211.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $231.00
LOW: $160.00
MEDIAN: $231.00
CONSENSUS: $211.60
DOWNSIDE: 3.71%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 133.3% above fair value
Current Price $219.75
Bear Case $77.85 64.6% downside ($77.85 - $219.75) / $219.75 = -64.6% $1.90 × 12x + net cash
Fair Value $94.17 57.1% downside ($94.17 - $219.75) / $219.75 = -57.1% $1.90 × 16x + net cash
Bull Case $110.50 49.7% downside ($110.50 - $219.75) / $219.75 = -49.7% $1.90 × 20x + net cash

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.9$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($1.90)

Implied Market Multiple 115.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $211.60 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $94.17 per share.

Warnings

Price-to-book value of 10.4x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $211.60 (from 37 analysts). Our estimate is 79% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing