Silicon Laboratories Inc. logo SLAB - Silicon Laboratories Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 24
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $183.40 DETAILS
HIGH: $231.00
LOW: $115.00
MEDIAN: $193.00
CONSENSUS: $183.40
DOWNSIDE: 16.52%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 36034.9% above fair value
Current Price $219.70
Bear Case $0.46 99.8% downside ($0.46 - $219.70) / $219.70 = -99.8% $0.04 × 12x
Fair Value $0.61 99.7% downside ($0.61 - $219.70) / $219.70 = -99.7% $0.04 × 16x
Bull Case $0.76 99.7% downside ($0.76 - $219.70) / $219.70 = -99.7% $0.04 × 20x

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
0.04$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($0.04)

Implied Market Multiple 5781.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Using 7-year normalized EPS of $0.04 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $0.61 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 10.4x.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (38 analysts) $183.40
Analyst Range $115.00 – $231.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 100%

Warnings

Price-to-book value of 10.4x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $183.40 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
  • 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
  • Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing