SLAB - Silicon Laboratories Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$183.40
DETAILS
HIGH:
$231.00
LOW:
$115.00
MEDIAN:
$193.00
CONSENSUS:
$183.40
DOWNSIDE:
16.52%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Cyclical & Capital-Intensive
80% confidence
Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
0.04$
Key Value Driver
Through-cycle normalized EPS ($0.04)
Implied Market Multiple
5781.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Using 7-year normalized EPS of $0.04 at a 16x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $0.61 per share. P/TBV cross-check: 10.4x.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (38 analysts)
$183.40
Analyst Range
$115.00 – $231.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
100%
Warnings
Price-to-book value of 10.4x is above the normal range for this type of business (0.7x-2.0x). The stock may already price in a strong cycle.
Wall Street's average price target is $183.40 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
- 'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
- Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing