SKX - Skechers U.S.A., Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$70.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$85.00
LOW:
$40.00
MEDIAN:
$72.00
CONSENSUS:
$70.00
UPSIDE:
10.88%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.0x
4.16$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.16, the base-case value is $87.19 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (37 analysts)
$70.00
Analyst Range
$40.00 – $85.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
25%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples