Skechers U.S.A., Inc. logo SKX - Skechers U.S.A., Inc.

Inactive Ticker SKX is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 26
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $72.00
CONSENSUS: $70.00
UPSIDE: 10.88%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 23.0% below fair value
Current Price $63.13
Bear Case $71.78 13.7% upside ($71.78 - $63.13) / $63.13 = 13.7% $4.16 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $82.03 29.9% upside ($82.03 - $63.13) / $63.13 = 29.9% $4.16 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $92.29 46.2% upside ($92.29 - $63.13) / $63.13 = 46.2% $4.16 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
4.16$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $70.00 from 37 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $82.03 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples