Skechers U.S.A., Inc. logo SKX - Skechers U.S.A., Inc.

Inactive Ticker SKX is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 26
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $72.00
CONSENSUS: $70.00
UPSIDE: 10.88%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.6% below fair value
Current Price $63.13
Bear Case $76.29 20.8% upside ($76.29 - $63.13) / $63.13 = 20.8% $4.16 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $87.19 38.1% upside ($87.19 - $63.13) / $63.13 = 38.1% $4.16 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $98.09 55.4% upside ($98.09 - $63.13) / $63.13 = 55.4% $4.16 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
4.16$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.16, the base-case value is $87.19 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $70.00
Analyst Range $40.00 – $85.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 25%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples