Tanger Inc. logo SKT - Tanger Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $38.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $41.00
LOW: $37.00
MEDIAN: $37.00
CONSENSUS: $38.33
UPSIDE: 7.97%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.2% below fair value
Current Price $35.50
Bear Case $34.73 2.2% downside ($34.73 - $35.50) / $35.50 = -2.2% $2.31 FFO × 16x
Fair Value $43.41 22.3% upside ($43.41 - $35.50) / $35.50 = 22.3% $2.31 FFO × 20x
Bull Case $52.10 46.7% upside ($52.10 - $35.50) / $35.50 = 46.7% $2.31 FFO × 23x

Adjust Assumptions

19.5x
2.31$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($2.31) × retail P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 15.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Retail REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $38.33 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $43.41 per share.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify