Signet Jewelers Limited logo SIG - Signet Jewelers Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $121.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $121.00
LOW: $121.00
MEDIAN: $121.00
CONSENSUS: $121.00
UPSIDE: 42.32%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 26.9% below fair value
Current Price $85.02
Bear Case $93.03 9.4% upside ($93.03 - $85.02) / $85.02 = 9.4% $7.62 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $116.30 36.8% upside ($116.30 - $85.02) / $85.02 = 36.8% $7.62 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $139.55 64.1% upside ($139.55 - $85.02) / $85.02 = 64.1% $7.62 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
7.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $121.00 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $116.30 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples