Signet Jewelers Limited logo SIG - Signet Jewelers Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $110.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $150.00
LOW: $90.00
MEDIAN: $96.00
CONSENSUS: $110.60
UPSIDE: 35.52%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.9% below fair value
Current Price $81.61
Bear Case $90.50 10.9% upside ($90.50 - $81.61) / $81.61 = 10.9% $7.61 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $113.13 38.6% upside ($113.13 - $81.61) / $81.61 = 38.6% $7.61 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $135.75 66.3% upside ($135.75 - $81.61) / $81.61 = 66.3% $7.61 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
7.61$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $110.60 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $113.13 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples