Signet Jewelers Limited logo SIG - Signet Jewelers Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 12
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $113.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $122.00
LOW: $105.00
MEDIAN: $113.50
CONSENSUS: $113.50
UPSIDE: 37.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 22.1% below fair value
Current Price $82.70
Bear Case $84.96 2.7% upside ($84.96 - $82.70) / $82.70 = 2.7% $7.08 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $106.20 28.4% upside ($106.20 - $82.70) / $82.70 = 28.4% $7.08 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $127.44 54.1% upside ($127.44 - $82.70) / $82.70 = 54.1% $7.08 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
7.08$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.08, the base-case value is $106.20 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (30 analysts) $113.50
Analyst Range $105.00 – $122.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 6%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples