Is SIEGY undervalued?

AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Siemens AG's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag SIEGY as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Siemens AG's fair value?

Fair value for SIEGY is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value SIEGY?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from SIEGY's most recent reported fundamentals.

SIEGY - Siemens AG

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 33.5% above fair value

Current Price $155.30

Bear Case $93.05 40.1% downside ($93.05 - $155.30) / $155.30 = -40.1% $7.75 × 12x P/E

Fair Value $116.31 25.1% downside ($116.31 - $155.30) / $155.30 = -25.1% $7.75 × 15x P/E

Bull Case $139.57 10.1% downside ($139.57 - $155.30) / $155.30 = -10.1% $7.75 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

15.0x

Adjusted EPS

7.75$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 20.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $7.75, the base-case value is $116.31 per share.

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 152% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

ℹ Financial statements were converted from EUR into USD using EURUSD at 1.1636 USD per EUR.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples