Sotera Health Company logo SHC - Sotera Health Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $22.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $24.00
LOW: $18.00
MEDIAN: $24.00
CONSENSUS: $22.00
UPSIDE: 40.49%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 89.1% above fair value
Current Price $15.66
Bear Case $6.62 57.7% downside ($6.62 - $15.66) / $15.66 = -57.7% $0.32 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $8.28 47.1% downside ($8.28 - $15.66) / $15.66 = -47.1% $0.32 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $9.94 36.6% downside ($9.94 - $15.66) / $15.66 = -36.6% $0.32 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.32$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 48.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $22.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $8.28 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $22.00 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 78% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples