SHC - Sotera Health Company
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$21.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$25.00
LOW:
$19.00
MEDIAN:
$20.00
CONSENSUS:
$21.33
UPSIDE:
20.03%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
0.27$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
65.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.27, the base-case value is $4.05 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (12 analysts)
$21.33
Analyst Range
$19.00 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
81%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $21.33 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 81% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples