Sotera Health Company logo SHC - Sotera Health Company

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 0
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $19.00
MEDIAN: $20.00
CONSENSUS: $21.33
UPSIDE: 20.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 338.8% above fair value
Current Price $17.77
Bear Case $3.24 81.8% downside ($3.24 - $17.77) / $17.77 = -81.8% $0.27 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $4.05 77.2% downside ($4.05 - $17.77) / $17.77 = -77.2% $0.27 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $4.86 72.7% downside ($4.86 - $17.77) / $17.77 = -72.7% $0.27 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.27$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 65.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.27, the base-case value is $4.05 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $21.33
Analyst Range $19.00 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 81%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $21.33 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 81% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples