SHBI - Shore Bancshares, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$25.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$26.50
LOW:
$25.00
MEDIAN:
$25.75
CONSENSUS:
$25.75
UPSIDE:
12.69%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
12.0%
8.8%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (12.0%) vs. cost of equity (8.8%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.53x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 12.0% vs. 8.8% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.66x on $14.89 tangible book, implying $24.75 per share. DDM cross-check: $7.35.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (6 analysts)
$25.75
Analyst Range
$25.00 – $26.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
4%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $7.35 (70% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly