SFL Corporation Ltd logo SFL - SFL Corporation Ltd

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $14.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $14.00
CONSENSUS: $14.00
UPSIDE: 13.18%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 73.9% below fair value
Current Price $12.37
Bear Case $27.79 124.6% upside ($27.79 - $12.37) / $12.37 = 124.6% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $47.31 282.4% upside ($47.31 - $12.37) / $12.37 = 282.4% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $67.41 445.0% upside ($67.41 - $12.37) / $12.37 = 445.0% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.9%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 11.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 1.5% vs our 11.9% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $47.31 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (9 analysts) $14.00
Analyst Range $14.00 – $14.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 238%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $14.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 238% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions