SFL - SFL Corporation Ltd
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$14.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$14.00
LOW:
$14.00
MEDIAN:
$14.00
CONSENSUS:
$14.00
UPSIDE:
13.18%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.9%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
11.6x
Market is pricing in (growth)
1.5%
vs our 11.9% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $47.31 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (9 analysts)
$14.00
Analyst Range
$14.00 – $14.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
238%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $14.00 (from 9 analysts). Our estimate is 238% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions