SFL Corporation Ltd. logo SFL - SFL Corporation Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 3
HOLD 6
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $16.00
LOW: $13.00
MEDIAN: $14.50
CONSENSUS: $14.50
UPSIDE: 18.08%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 28.8% below fair value
Current Price $12.28
Bear Case $8.21 33.1% downside ($8.21 - $12.28) / $12.28 = -33.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $17.25 40.5% upside ($17.25 - $12.28) / $12.28 = 40.5% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $26.16 113.0% upside ($26.16 - $12.28) / $12.28 = 113.0% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 18.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $14.50 from 9 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $17.25 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions