ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. logo SFBS - ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 3
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $94.00
LOW: $94.00
MEDIAN: $94.00
CONSENSUS: $94.00
UPSIDE: 117.27%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.7% above fair value
Current Price $43.27
Bear Case $24.45 43.5% downside ($24.45 - $43.27) / $43.27 = -43.5% ROTCE 11.3% → 1.46x TBV
Fair Value $37.06 14.3% downside ($37.06 - $43.27) / $43.27 = -14.3% ROTCE 15.1% → 2.21x TBV
Bull Case $44.63 3.2% upside ($44.63 - $43.27) / $43.27 = 3.2% ROTCE 17.3% → 2.66x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

15.1%
9.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (15.1%) vs. cost of equity (9.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.58x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 15.1% vs. 9.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.21x on $16.80 tangible book, implying $37.06 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $94.00
Analyst Range $94.00 – $94.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 61%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $94.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly