SFBS - ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$45.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$46.00
LOW:
$45.00
MEDIAN:
$45.50
CONSENSUS:
$45.50
UPSIDE:
18.46%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
15.1%
9.3%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (15.1%) vs. cost of equity (9.3%)
Implied Market Multiple
2.29x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 15.1% vs. 9.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 2.09x on $16.80 tangible book, implying $35.36 per share. DDM cross-check: $87.66.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (6 analysts)
$45.50
Analyst Range
$45.00 – $46.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
22%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $87.66 (148% above our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly