Sezzle Inc. logo SEZL - Sezzle Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $85.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $94.00
LOW: $76.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $85.00
DOWNSIDE: 17.32%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 85.1% above fair value
Current Price $102.80
Bear Case $38.89 62.2% downside ($38.89 - $102.80) / $102.80 = -62.2% ROTCE 20.0% → 1.60x TBV
Fair Value $55.54 46.0% downside ($55.54 - $102.80) / $102.80 = -46.0% ROTCE 25.0% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $72.20 29.8% downside ($72.20 - $102.80) / $102.80 = -29.8% ROTCE 30.0% → 2.60x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

80.0%
14.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (80.0%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 20.76x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $85.00 from 6 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $55.54 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $85.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 43% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly