Shoe Carnival, Inc. logo SCVL - Shoe Carnival, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $22.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $22.00
LOW: $22.00
MEDIAN: $22.00
CONSENSUS: $22.00
UPSIDE: 32.05%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Stable Earnings Power

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C- 46.7 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for stable earnings power businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 20%
D 37.2
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 8.6% 53/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -2.35 pp/yr 0/100
Contributes 7.4 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B+ 76.4
  • 5yr Avg ROE 13.5% 75/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -0.9% 79/100
Contributes 11.5 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 15%
F 13.5
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -3.9% 12/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -23.1% 0/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 2/5 40/100
Contributes 2.0 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
C- 48.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 4.1% 45/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.57x 53/100
Contributes 7.3 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 20%
B 69.4
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 2.38x 62/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 178.91x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 2.13 45/100
Contributes 13.9 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 15%
D- 30.3
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.80 8/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 5 56/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 3/5 40/100
Contributes 4.6 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Dumping

1 of 2 gurus held; 1 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
1 -1
Avg Δ position
-85.2%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (20%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (15%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (20%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (15%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.