ScanSource, Inc. logo SCSC - ScanSource, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 0
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $43.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $43.00
LOW: $43.00
MEDIAN: $43.00
CONSENSUS: $43.00
DOWNSIDE: 2.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 7.0% below fair value
Current Price $44.09
Bear Case $37.94 14.0% downside ($37.94 - $44.09) / $44.09 = -14.0% $3.23 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $47.42 7.5% upside ($47.42 - $44.09) / $44.09 = 7.5% $3.23 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $56.90 29.0% upside ($56.90 - $44.09) / $44.09 = 29.0% $3.23 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.23$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $43.00 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $47.42 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples