SCSC - ScanSource, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$43.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$43.00
LOW:
$43.00
MEDIAN:
$43.00
CONSENSUS:
$43.00
DOWNSIDE:
23.96%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
50% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
3.64$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.64, the base-case value is $54.60 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (5 analysts)
$43.00
Analyst Range
$43.00 – $43.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
27%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $43.00 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 27% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples