AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Starbucks Corporation as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag SBUX as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Starbucks Corporation's fair value?

Fair value for SBUX comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value SBUX?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. SBUX was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from SBUX's most recent reported fundamentals.

SBUX - Starbucks Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $115.50 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 27.4% above fair value

Current Price $97.87

Bear Case $64.33 34.3% downside ($64.33 - $97.87) / $97.87 = -34.3% $3.31 × 19x P/E

Fair Value $76.84 21.5% downside ($76.84 - $97.87) / $97.87 = -21.5% $3.31 × 23x P/E

Bull Case $89.35 8.7% downside ($89.35 - $97.87) / $97.87 = -8.7% $3.31 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

23.2x

Adjusted EPS

3.31$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 29.6x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 23x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.31, the base-case value is $76.84 per share. DDM cross-check: $73.91.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (59 analysts) $115.50

Analyst Range $97.00 – $130.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 33%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 103%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

⚠ The company pays out 153% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $115.50 (from 59 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples