SBAC - SBA Communications Corporation
Price:
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--
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$233.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$260.00
LOW:
$205.00
MEDIAN:
$230.00
CONSENSUS:
$233.00
UPSIDE:
13.34%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
35.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($14.43) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
14.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $233.00 from 42 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $424.35 per share.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $233.00 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 117% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify