SBAC - SBA Communications Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$217.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$238.00
LOW:
$205.00
MEDIAN:
$212.50
CONSENSUS:
$217.67
UPSIDE:
13.99%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
35.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($14.43) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
13.2x
Plain-Language Summary
At $14.43 FFO/share with a 35x specialty REIT multiple, the base-case value is $506.36 per share. Dividend yield: 2.5%.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (42 analysts)
$217.67
Analyst Range
$205.00 – $238.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
133%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $217.67 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 133% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify