SBAC - SBA Communications Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$223.71
DETAILS
HIGH:
$271.00
LOW:
$205.00
MEDIAN:
$210.00
CONSENSUS:
$223.71
UPSIDE:
23.80%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Specialty REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
35.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($12.69) × specialty P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
14.2x
Plain-Language Summary
At $12.69 FFO/share with a 35x specialty REIT multiple, the base-case value is $445.41 per share. Dividend yield: 2.7%.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (42 analysts)
$223.71
Analyst Range
$205.00 – $271.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
99%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $223.71 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 99% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify