Saia, Inc. logo SAIA - Saia, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 14
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $422.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $500.00
LOW: $262.00
MEDIAN: $443.00
CONSENSUS: $422.67
DOWNSIDE: 7.36%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C+ 60.5 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for cyclical & capital-intensive businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%
C- 50.9
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 10.7% 63/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.93 pp/yr 22/100
Contributes 7.6 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
B- 68.3
  • 5yr Avg ROE 12.3% 71/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR 0.1% 64/100
Contributes 10.3 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 10%
B- 62.2
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR 9.0% 78/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 0.1% 21/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 5/5 100/100
Contributes 6.2 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 15%
F 13.4
  • 5yr FCF Margin -0.1% 24/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion -0.02x 0/100
Contributes 2.0 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%
A+ 94.8
  • Net Debt / EBITDA 0.66x 88/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 21.52x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 10.00 100/100
Contributes 23.7 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 20%
C 53.6
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.64 19/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 6 67/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 0/5 100/100
Contributes 10.7 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Trimming

2 of 3 gurus held; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders
2 -1
Avg Δ position
-44.8%
New buys
0
Full exits
1
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (10%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (15%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.