Rexnord Corporation logo RXN - Rexnord Corporation

Inactive Ticker RXN is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.3% below fair value
Current Price $64.95
Bear Case $39.19 39.7% downside ($39.19 - $64.95) / $64.95 = -39.7% 12% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $71.62 10.3% upside ($71.62 - $64.95) / $64.95 = 10.3% 20% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $112.09 72.6% upside ($112.09 - $64.95) / $64.95 = 72.6% 26% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

20.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 35.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 18.7% vs our 20.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 20% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $71.62 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions