RVLV - Revolve Group, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$29.56
DETAILS
HIGH:
$34.00
LOW:
$26.00
MEDIAN:
$28.00
CONSENSUS:
$29.56
UPSIDE:
53.72%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.7x
0.86$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
22.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $29.56 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $22.59 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $29.56 (from 30 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples