Revolve Group, Inc. logo RVLV - Revolve Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $37.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $29.57
UPSIDE: 28.09%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 18.1% above fair value
Current Price $23.09
Bear Case $17.11 25.9% downside ($17.11 - $23.09) / $23.09 = -25.9% $0.86 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $19.55 15.3% downside ($19.55 - $23.09) / $23.09 = -15.3% $0.86 × 23x P/E
Bull Case $21.99 4.7% downside ($21.99 - $23.09) / $23.09 = -4.7% $0.86 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.7x
0.86$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 26.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 23x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.86, the base-case value is $19.55 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (30 analysts) $29.57
Analyst Range $26.00 – $37.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 34%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $29.57 (from 30 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples