Revolve Group, Inc. logo RVLV - Revolve Group, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 11
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.56 DETAILS
HIGH: $34.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $28.00
CONSENSUS: $29.56
UPSIDE: 53.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 14.9% below fair value
Current Price $19.23
Bear Case $19.77 2.8% upside ($19.77 - $19.23) / $19.23 = 2.8% $0.86 × 20x P/E
Fair Value $22.59 17.5% upside ($22.59 - $19.23) / $19.23 = 17.5% $0.86 × 23x P/E
Bull Case $25.42 32.2% upside ($25.42 - $19.23) / $19.23 = 32.2% $0.86 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.7x
0.86$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (23x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 22.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $29.56 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $22.59 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $29.56 (from 30 analysts). Our estimate is 34% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples