Rush Enterprises, Inc. logo RUSHB - Rush Enterprises, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 40.2% below fair value
Current Price $57.89
Bear Case $70.38 21.6% upside ($70.38 - $57.89) / $57.89 = 21.6% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $96.78 67.2% upside ($96.78 - $57.89) / $57.89 = 67.2% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $122.33 111.3% upside ($122.33 - $57.89) / $57.89 = 111.3% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 13.2x
Market is pricing in (growth) 3.4% vs our 9.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $96.78 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions