Rush Enterprises, Inc. logo RUSHA - Rush Enterprises, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $82.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $88.00
LOW: $73.00
MEDIAN: $85.00
CONSENSUS: $82.00
UPSIDE: 19.03%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 43.5% below fair value
Current Price $68.89
Bear Case $88.46 28.4% upside ($88.46 - $68.89) / $68.89 = 28.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $122.00 77.1% upside ($122.00 - $68.89) / $68.89 = 77.1% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $154.44 124.2% upside ($154.44 - $68.89) / $68.89 = 124.2% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 11.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $82.00 from 17 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $122.00 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $82.00 (from 17 analysts). Our estimate is 65% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions