Rush Enterprises, Inc. logo RUSHA - Rush Enterprises, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $89.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $85.00
MEDIAN: $88.00
CONSENSUS: $89.33
UPSIDE: 83.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 49.6% below fair value
Current Price $48.75
Bear Case $70.38 44.4% upside ($70.38 - $48.75) / $48.75 = 44.4% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $96.78 98.5% upside ($96.78 - $48.75) / $48.75 = 98.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $122.33 150.9% upside ($122.33 - $48.75) / $48.75 = 150.9% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 11.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 1.4% vs our 9.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $96.78 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (17 analysts) $89.33
Analyst Range $85.00 – $95.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 8%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions