Regal Rexnord Corporation logo RRX - Regal Rexnord Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $228.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $265.00
LOW: $160.00
MEDIAN: $233.50
CONSENSUS: $228.33
UPSIDE: 13.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 37.1% below fair value
Current Price $200.78
Bear Case $178.64 11.0% downside ($178.64 - $200.78) / $200.78 = -11.0% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $318.97 58.9% upside ($318.97 - $200.78) / $200.78 = 58.9% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $476.48 137.3% upside ($476.48 - $200.78) / $200.78 = 137.3% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

15.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (15% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 43%
Implied Market Multiple 20.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $228.33 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $318.97 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $228.33 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 53% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions