RRX - Regal Rexnord Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$242.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$286.00
LOW:
$200.00
MEDIAN:
$245.00
CONSENSUS:
$242.00
UPSIDE:
60.82%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
13.2%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (13% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
41%
Implied Market Multiple
12.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
2.8%
vs our 13.2% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $401.45 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$242.00
Analyst Range
$200.00 – $286.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
66%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $242.00 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 66% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions