Red Rock Resorts, Inc. logo RRR - Red Rock Resorts, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 20
HOLD 10
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $71.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $79.00
LOW: $59.00
MEDIAN: $72.00
CONSENSUS: $71.00
UPSIDE: 28.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 26.7% below fair value
Current Price $55.38
Bear Case $59.64 7.7% upside ($59.64 - $55.38) / $55.38 = 7.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $75.58 36.5% upside ($75.58 - $55.38) / $55.38 = 36.5% 8% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $90.58 63.6% upside ($90.58 - $55.38) / $55.38 = 63.6% 11% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

8.5%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 12.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $71.00 from 30 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $75.58 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions