RRC - Range Resources Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$43.83
DETAILS
HIGH:
$52.00
LOW:
$39.00
MEDIAN:
$43.50
CONSENSUS:
$43.83
UPSIDE:
13.11%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Oil & Gas E&P
85% confidence
Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
75.0$/bbl
11.0x
Key Value Driver
Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)
Implied Market Multiple
27.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on free cash flow under different commodity price assumptions and a valuation multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $43.83 from 62 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $23.01 per share.
Warnings
If oil drops to $60/barrel, the stock could fall -92%. Check whether the company can survive at low prices and still pay its dividend.
Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $43.83 (from 62 analysts). Our estimate is 73% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
- Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
- Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential