RPRX - Royalty Pharma plc
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$63.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$67.00
LOW:
$57.00
MEDIAN:
$66.00
CONSENSUS:
$63.33
UPSIDE:
11.24%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
14.0x
5.62$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
10.1x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.62, the base-case value is $78.64 per share. DDM cross-check: $28.15.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$63.33
Analyst Range
$57.00 – $67.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
24%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 212%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Dividend-based valuation: $28.15 (below our primary estimate by 64%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples