Royalty Pharma plc logo RPRX - Royalty Pharma plc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $63.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $67.00
LOW: $57.00
MEDIAN: $66.00
CONSENSUS: $63.33
UPSIDE: 11.24%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 27.6% below fair value
Current Price $56.93
Bear Case $67.40 18.4% upside ($67.40 - $56.93) / $56.93 = 18.4% $5.62 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $78.64 38.1% upside ($78.64 - $56.93) / $56.93 = 38.1% $5.62 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $89.87 57.9% upside ($89.87 - $56.93) / $56.93 = 57.9% $5.62 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
5.62$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 10.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.62, the base-case value is $78.64 per share. DDM cross-check: $28.15.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $63.33
Analyst Range $57.00 – $67.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 24%

Warnings

⚠ The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 212%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $28.15 (below our primary estimate by 64%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples