RPM International Inc. logo RPM - RPM International Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $126.70 DETAILS
HIGH: $147.00
LOW: $115.00
MEDIAN: $126.00
CONSENSUS: $126.70
UPSIDE: 27.04%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 28.6% above fair value
Current Price $99.73
Bear Case $62.04 37.8% downside ($62.04 - $99.73) / $99.73 = -37.8% $5.17 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $77.55 22.2% downside ($77.55 - $99.73) / $99.73 = -22.2% $5.17 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $93.06 6.7% downside ($93.06 - $99.73) / $99.73 = -6.7% $5.17 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
5.17$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.17, the base-case value is $77.55 per share. DDM cross-check: $130.31.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $126.70
Analyst Range $115.00 – $147.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 39%

Warnings

ℹ Dividend-based valuation: $130.31 (above our primary estimate by 68%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $126.70 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 39% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples