RPM International Inc. logo RPM - RPM International Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 17
HOLD 5
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $133.14 DETAILS
HIGH: $151.00
LOW: $117.00
MEDIAN: $128.00
CONSENSUS: $133.14
UPSIDE: 30.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 31.3% above fair value
Current Price $101.85
Bear Case $62.04 39.1% downside ($62.04 - $101.85) / $101.85 = -39.1% $5.17 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $77.55 23.9% downside ($77.55 - $101.85) / $101.85 = -23.9% $5.17 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $93.06 8.6% downside ($93.06 - $101.85) / $101.85 = -8.6% $5.17 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
5.17$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 19.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.17, the base-case value is $77.55 per share. DDM cross-check: $126.43.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (22 analysts) $133.14
Analyst Range $117.00 – $151.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 42%

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $126.43 (above our primary estimate by 63%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $133.14 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 42% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples