RPM International Inc. logo RPM - RPM International Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $122.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $126.00
LOW: $118.00
MEDIAN: $123.00
CONSENSUS: $122.67
UPSIDE: 21.58%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 58.3% above fair value
Current Price $100.90
Bear Case $48.61 51.8% downside ($48.61 - $100.90) / $100.90 = -51.8% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $63.73 36.8% downside ($63.73 - $100.90) / $100.90 = -36.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $77.09 23.6% downside ($77.09 - $100.90) / $100.90 = -23.6% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 30.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $122.67 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $63.73 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $122.67 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 64% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions