Roper Technologies, Inc. logo ROP - Roper Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 13
HOLD 6
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $427.71 DETAILS
HIGH: $526.00
LOW: $355.00
MEDIAN: $417.00
CONSENSUS: $427.71
UPSIDE: 0.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.9% below fair value
Current Price $424.64
Bear Case $332.26 21.8% downside ($332.26 - $424.64) / $424.64 = -21.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $481.97 13.5% upside ($481.97 - $424.64) / $424.64 = 13.5% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $629.85 48.3% upside ($629.85 - $424.64) / $424.64 = 48.3% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 19.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.8% vs our 10.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $481.97 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (23 analysts) $427.71
Analyst Range $355.00 – $526.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 13%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions