Roper Technologies, Inc. logo ROP - Roper Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 12
HOLD 7
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $457.64 DETAILS
HIGH: $550.00
LOW: $365.00
MEDIAN: $470.00
CONSENSUS: $457.64
UPSIDE: 39.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 28.0% below fair value
Current Price $326.94
Bear Case $311.68 4.7% downside ($311.68 - $326.94) / $326.94 = -4.7% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $454.16 38.9% upside ($454.16 - $326.94) / $326.94 = 38.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $594.90 82.0% upside ($594.90 - $326.94) / $326.94 = 82.0% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 16.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $457.64 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $454.16 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions