Roper Technologies, Inc. logo ROP - Roper Technologies, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 1
BUY 12
HOLD 7
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $452.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $550.00
LOW: $365.00
MEDIAN: $455.00
CONSENSUS: $452.25
UPSIDE: 24.54%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.0% below fair value
Current Price $363.14
Bear Case $295.37 18.7% downside ($295.37 - $363.14) / $363.14 = -18.7% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $432.47 19.1% upside ($432.47 - $363.14) / $363.14 = 19.1% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $567.89 56.4% upside ($567.89 - $363.14) / $363.14 = 56.4% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

10.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 19.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.5% vs our 10.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $452.25 from 23 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $432.47 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions