Root, Inc. logo ROOT - Root, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $50.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $50.00
CONSENSUS: $50.00
DOWNSIDE: 13.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 55.9% above fair value
Current Price $57.48
Bear Case $25.82 55.1% downside ($25.82 - $57.48) / $57.48 = -55.1% ROTCE 8.2% → 0.42x TBV
Fair Value $36.88 35.8% downside ($36.88 - $57.48) / $57.48 = -35.8% ROTCE 10.9% → 0.69x TBV
Bull Case $47.94 16.6% downside ($47.94 - $57.48) / $57.48 = -16.6% ROTCE 12.6% → 0.86x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.9%
14.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.9%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.19x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $50.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $36.88 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (10.9%) is below the minimum investors require (14.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Wall Street's average price target is $50.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 33% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly