Root, Inc. logo ROOT - Root, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 9
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $62.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $75.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $62.50
CONSENSUS: $62.50
UPSIDE: 8.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 45.7% above fair value
Current Price $57.38
Bear Case $27.57 52.0% downside ($27.57 - $57.38) / $57.38 = -52.0% ROTCE 8.2% → 0.42x TBV
Fair Value $39.38 31.4% downside ($39.38 - $57.38) / $57.38 = -31.4% ROTCE 10.9% → 0.69x TBV
Bull Case $51.19 10.8% downside ($51.19 - $57.38) / $57.38 = -10.8% ROTCE 12.6% → 0.86x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.9%
14.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.9%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 2.18x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $62.50 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $39.38 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Return on equity (10.9%) is below the minimum investors require (14.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
Wall Street's average price target is $62.50 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 46% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly