Root, Inc. logo ROOT - Root, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 10
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $54.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $58.00
LOW: $50.00
MEDIAN: $54.00
CONSENSUS: $54.00
UPSIDE: 6.99%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 170.3% above fair value
Current Price $50.47
Bear Case $11.31 77.6% downside ($11.31 - $50.47) / $50.47 = -77.6% ROTCE 8.2% → 0.42x TBV
Fair Value $18.67 63.0% downside ($18.67 - $50.47) / $50.47 = -63.0% ROTCE 10.9% → 0.69x TBV
Bull Case $23.09 54.3% downside ($23.09 - $50.47) / $50.47 = -54.3% ROTCE 12.6% → 0.86x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.9%
14.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.9%) vs. cost of equity (14.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.87x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 10.9% vs. 14.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 0.69x on $26.94 tangible book, implying $18.67 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $54.00
Analyst Range $50.00 – $58.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 65%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
⚠ Return on equity (10.9%) is below the minimum investors require (14.0%). This means the bank is worth less than the net assets on its books.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $54.00 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 65% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly