Roivant Sciences Ltd. logo ROIV - Roivant Sciences Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $36.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $42.00
LOW: $30.00
MEDIAN: $37.00
CONSENSUS: $36.17
UPSIDE: 20.73%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 67.2% below fair value
Current Price $29.96
Bear Case $78.36 161.5% upside ($78.36 - $29.96) / $29.96 = 161.5% $5.23 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $91.42 205.1% upside ($91.42 - $29.96) / $29.96 = 205.1% $5.23 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $104.47 248.7% upside ($104.47 - $29.96) / $29.96 = 248.7% $5.23 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.0x
5.23$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 5.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $36.17 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $91.42 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $36.17 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 204% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples