ROIV - Roivant Sciences Ltd.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$36.17
DETAILS
HIGH:
$42.00
LOW:
$30.00
MEDIAN:
$37.00
CONSENSUS:
$36.17
UPSIDE:
20.73%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.0x
5.23$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
5.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $36.17 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $91.42 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $36.17 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 204% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples