RNR - RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$332.29
DETAILS
HIGH:
$354.00
LOW:
$315.00
MEDIAN:
$329.00
CONSENSUS:
$332.29
UPSIDE:
1.07%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
28.4%
6.0%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (28.4%) vs. cost of equity (6.0%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.45x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 28.4% vs. 6.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 4.00x on $227.11 tangible book, implying $908.46 per share. DDM cross-check: $42.53.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (28 analysts)
$332.29
Analyst Range
$315.00 – $354.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
173%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $42.53 (95% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $332.29 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 173% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly