RingCentral, Inc. logo RNG - RingCentral, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 28
HOLD 14
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $52.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $85.00
LOW: $40.00
MEDIAN: $45.00
CONSENSUS: $52.57
DOWNSIDE: 24.23%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.8% below fair value
Current Price $69.38
Bear Case $61.50 11.4% downside ($61.50 - $69.38) / $69.38 = -11.4% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $85.39 23.1% upside ($85.39 - $69.38) / $69.38 = 23.1% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $108.31 56.1% upside ($108.31 - $69.38) / $69.38 = 56.1% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 17.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 6.8% vs our 9.1% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 9% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $85.39 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (42 analysts) $52.57
Analyst Range $40.00 – $85.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 62%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 621% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $52.57 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 62% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions