Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc. logo RNAC - Cartesian Therapeutics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $20.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $16.00
MEDIAN: $20.50
CONSENSUS: $20.50
UPSIDE: 115.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 74.8% below fair value
Current Price $9.51
Bear Case $32.31 239.8% upside ($32.31 - $9.51) / $9.51 = 239.8% $3.00 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $37.70 296.4% upside ($37.70 - $9.51) / $9.51 = 296.4% $3.00 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $43.09 353.1% upside ($43.09 - $9.51) / $9.51 = 353.1% $3.00 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
3.0$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 3.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $20.50 from 10 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $37.70 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $20.50 (from 10 analysts). Our estimate is 105% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples