The RMR Group Inc. logo RMR - The RMR Group Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $32.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $32.00
LOW: $32.00
MEDIAN: $32.00
CONSENSUS: $32.00
UPSIDE: 58.34%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 75% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 36.5% below fair value
Current Price $20.21
Bear Case $25.46 26.0% upside ($25.46 - $20.21) / $20.21 = 26.0% $2.08 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $31.83 57.5% upside ($31.83 - $20.21) / $20.21 = 57.5% $2.08 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $38.19 89.0% upside ($38.19 - $20.21) / $20.21 = 89.0% $2.08 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.3x
2.08$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $32.00 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.83 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 102%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 175% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples