Rimini Street, Inc. logo RMNI - Rimini Street, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $8.50
LOW: $6.50
MEDIAN: $6.50
CONSENSUS: $7.17
UPSIDE: 51.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 62.1% below fair value
Current Price $4.72
Bear Case $8.62 82.7% upside ($8.62 - $4.72) / $4.72 = 82.7% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $12.47 164.1% upside ($12.47 - $4.72) / $4.72 = 164.1% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $16.51 249.7% upside ($16.51 - $4.72) / $4.72 = 249.7% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 8.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) -2.7% vs our 12.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $7.17 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $12.47 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $7.17 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 92% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions