Rimini Street, Inc. logo RMNI - Rimini Street, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $8.50
LOW: $6.50
MEDIAN: $6.50
CONSENSUS: $7.17
UPSIDE: 72.36%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 67.9% below fair value
Current Price $4.16
Bear Case $9.07 118.1% upside ($9.07 - $4.16) / $4.16 = 118.1% 8% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $12.97 211.7% upside ($12.97 - $4.16) / $4.16 = 211.7% 13% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $17.04 309.5% upside ($17.04 - $4.16) / $4.16 = 309.5% 16% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.7%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 7.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) -4.3% vs our 12.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $12.97 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (5 analysts) $7.17
Analyst Range $6.50 – $8.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 81%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $7.17 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 81% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions