Rimini Street, Inc. logo RMNI - Rimini Street, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $8.50
LOW: $6.50
MEDIAN: $6.50
CONSENSUS: $7.17
UPSIDE: 39.77%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 65.5% below fair value
Current Price $5.13
Bear Case $10.28 100.5% upside ($10.28 - $5.13) / $5.13 = 100.5% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $14.88 190.0% upside ($14.88 - $5.13) / $5.13 = 190.0% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $19.70 284.1% upside ($19.70 - $5.13) / $5.13 = 284.1% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 8.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) -2.5% vs our 12.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $14.88 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (5 analysts) $7.17
Analyst Range $6.50 – $8.50
Divergence from AlphaVal 108%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $7.17 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 108% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions