Rimini Street, Inc. logo RMNI - Rimini Street, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.17 DETAILS
HIGH: $8.50
LOW: $6.50
MEDIAN: $6.50
CONSENSUS: $7.17
UPSIDE: 97.52%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 72.1% below fair value
Current Price $3.63
Bear Case $9.20 153.4% upside ($9.20 - $3.63) / $3.63 = 153.4% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $13.02 258.6% upside ($13.02 - $3.63) / $3.63 = 258.6% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $17.03 369.1% upside ($17.03 - $3.63) / $3.63 = 369.1% 16% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

12.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 5.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $7.17 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $13.02 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $7.17 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 102% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions