ResMed Inc. logo RMD - ResMed Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 16
HOLD 14
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $281.29 DETAILS
HIGH: $345.00
LOW: $225.00
MEDIAN: $275.00
CONSENSUS: $281.29
UPSIDE: 35.20%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 32.1% below fair value
Current Price $208.05
Bear Case $203.52 2.2% downside ($203.52 - $208.05) / $208.05 = -2.2% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $306.20 47.2% upside ($306.20 - $208.05) / $208.05 = 47.2% 14% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $417.19 100.5% upside ($417.19 - $208.05) / $208.05 = 100.5% 18% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (14% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 42%
Implied Market Multiple 18.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $281.29 from 35 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $306.20 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions