ResMed Inc. logo RMD - ResMed Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 14
HOLD 16
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $243.56 DETAILS
HIGH: $300.00
LOW: $213.00
MEDIAN: $230.00
CONSENSUS: $243.56
UPSIDE: 1.92%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 65% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 17.3% above fair value
Current Price $238.97
Bear Case $164.59 31.1% downside ($164.59 - $238.97) / $238.97 = -31.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $203.76 14.7% downside ($203.76 - $238.97) / $238.97 = -14.7% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $239.71 0.3% upside ($239.71 - $238.97) / $238.97 = 0.3% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.4%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 21.0x
Market is pricing in (growth) 9.6% vs our 7.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $203.76 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (35 analysts) $243.56
Analyst Range $213.00 – $300.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 16%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions