Rambus Inc. logo RMBS - Rambus Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 3
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $161.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $172.00
LOW: $145.00
MEDIAN: $165.00
CONSENSUS: $161.75
UPSIDE: 89.27%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 46.6% below fair value
Current Price $85.46
Bear Case $80.09 6.3% downside ($80.09 - $85.46) / $85.46 = -6.3% 15% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $159.90 87.1% upside ($159.90 - $85.46) / $85.46 = 87.1% 25% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $271.33 217.5% upside ($271.33 - $85.46) / $85.46 = 217.5% 32% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

25.0%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (25% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 45%
Implied Market Multiple 29.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) 16.0% vs our 25.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 25% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $159.90 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (14 analysts) $161.75
Analyst Range $145.00 – $172.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 1%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions