AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies RLX Technology Inc. as a Platform & Compounding FCF business and values it using Two-stage FCF DCF, then compares the result to the current market price to flag RLX as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is RLX Technology Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for RLX comes from a Two-stage FCF DCF model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Platform & Compounding FCF classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value RLX?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. RLX was classified as Platform & Compounding FCF and is valued using Two-stage FCF DCF, built from RLX's most recent reported fundamentals.

RLX - RLX Technology Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 70.4% below fair value

Current Price $1.76

Bear Case $3.81 116.3% upside ($3.81 - $1.76) / $1.76 = 116.3% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Fair Value $5.94 237.6% upside ($5.94 - $1.76) / $1.76 = 237.6% 20% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Bull Case $8.62 390.0% upside ($8.62 - $1.76) / $1.76 = 390.0% 26% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

DCF Stage 1 Growth Rate

20.0%

Discount Rate (WACC)

11.0%

Terminal Growth Rate

3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (20% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 46%

Implied Market Multiple 5.2x

Market is pricing in (growth) -10.2% vs our 20.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 20% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $5.94 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1491 USD per CNY.

Key Risks

P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions