Radiant Logistics, Inc. logo RLGT - Radiant Logistics, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $12.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $12.00
LOW: $12.00
MEDIAN: $12.00
CONSENSUS: $12.00
UPSIDE: 47.60%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 331.5% above fair value
Current Price $8.13
Bear Case $1.37 83.1% downside ($1.37 - $8.13) / $8.13 = -83.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $1.88 76.8% downside ($1.88 - $8.13) / $8.13 = -76.8% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $2.34 71.2% downside ($2.34 - $8.13) / $8.13 = -71.2% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (6% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 35%
Implied Market Multiple 47.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 20.6% vs our 6.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 6% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $1.88 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions