RKT - Rocket Companies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$18.63
DETAILS
HIGH:
$22.50
LOW:
$16.00
MEDIAN:
$18.00
CONSENSUS:
$18.63
UPSIDE:
34.79%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
0.04$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
383.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.04, the base-case value is $0.54 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (27 analysts)
$18.63
Analyst Range
$16.00 – $22.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
97%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $18.63 (from 27 analysts). Our estimate is 97% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
This stock is 43% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples