RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. logo RICK - RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $98.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $98.00
LOW: $98.00
MEDIAN: $98.00
CONSENSUS: $98.00
UPSIDE: 272.91%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 56.5% below fair value
Current Price $26.28
Bear Case $50.55 92.3% upside ($50.55 - $26.28) / $26.28 = 92.3% $2.81 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $60.38 129.7% upside ($60.38 - $26.28) / $26.28 = 129.7% $2.81 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $70.21 167.1% upside ($70.21 - $26.28) / $26.28 = 167.1% $2.81 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
2.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.81, the base-case value is $60.38 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 128%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples