RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. logo RICK - RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $98.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $98.00
LOW: $98.00
MEDIAN: $98.00
CONSENSUS: $98.00
UPSIDE: 266.77%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 55.7% below fair value
Current Price $26.72
Bear Case $50.55 89.2% upside ($50.55 - $26.72) / $26.72 = 89.2% $2.81 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $60.38 126.0% upside ($60.38 - $26.72) / $26.72 = 126.0% $2.81 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $70.21 162.7% upside ($70.21 - $26.72) / $26.72 = 162.7% $2.81 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
2.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.81, the base-case value is $60.38 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 128%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples