RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. logo RICK - RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $98.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $98.00
LOW: $98.00
MEDIAN: $98.00
CONSENSUS: $98.00
UPSIDE: 224.40%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 55.1% below fair value
Current Price $30.21
Bear Case $56.34 86.5% upside ($56.34 - $30.21) / $30.21 = 86.5% $3.13 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $67.30 122.8% upside ($67.30 - $30.21) / $30.21 = 122.8% $3.13 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $78.25 159.0% upside ($78.25 - $30.21) / $30.21 = 159.0% $3.13 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.5x
3.13$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 22x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.13, the base-case value is $67.30 per share.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 154%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples