RHP - Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$134.88
DETAILS
HIGH:
$145.00
LOW:
$112.00
MEDIAN:
$136.50
CONSENSUS:
$134.88
UPSIDE:
7.56%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($7.64) × default P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
16.4x
Plain-Language Summary
At $7.64 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $168.95 per share. Dividend yield: 3.8%.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (19 analysts)
$134.88
Analyst Range
$112.00 – $145.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
25%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $134.88 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 25% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify