RHP - Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$133.86
DETAILS
HIGH:
$147.00
LOW:
$112.00
MEDIAN:
$136.00
CONSENSUS:
$133.86
UPSIDE:
5.22%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($8.26) × default P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
15.4x
Plain-Language Summary
At $8.26 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $182.63 per share. Dividend yield: 3.7%. DDM cross-check: $193.29.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (19 analysts)
$133.86
Analyst Range
$112.00 – $147.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
36%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Wall Street's average price target is $133.86 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 36% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify