Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc. logo RHP - Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $134.88 DETAILS
HIGH: $145.00
LOW: $112.00
MEDIAN: $136.50
CONSENSUS: $134.88
UPSIDE: 7.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 25.8% below fair value
Current Price $125.40
Bear Case $139.14 11.0% upside ($139.14 - $125.40) / $125.40 = 11.0% $7.64 FFO × 18x
Fair Value $168.95 34.7% upside ($168.95 - $125.40) / $125.40 = 34.7% $7.64 FFO × 22x
Bull Case $198.77 58.5% upside ($198.77 - $125.40) / $125.40 = 58.5% $7.64 FFO × 26x

Adjust Assumptions

22.1x
7.64$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($7.64) × default P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 16.4x

Plain-Language Summary

At $7.64 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $168.95 per share. Dividend yield: 3.8%.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (19 analysts) $134.88
Analyst Range $112.00 – $145.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 25%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $134.88 (from 19 analysts). Our estimate is 25% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify