Robert Half Inc. logo RHI - Robert Half Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 11
SELL 7
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $38.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $47.00
LOW: $29.00
MEDIAN: $38.00
CONSENSUS: $38.00
DOWNSIDE: 15.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 22.7% below fair value
Current Price $44.97
Bear Case $46.56 3.5% upside ($46.56 - $44.97) / $44.97 = 3.5% $3.88 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $58.20 29.4% upside ($58.20 - $44.97) / $44.97 = 29.4% $3.88 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $69.84 55.3% upside ($69.84 - $44.97) / $44.97 = 55.3% $3.88 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.88$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 11.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.88, the base-case value is $58.20 per share. DDM cross-check: $301.64.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (25 analysts) $38.00
Analyst Range $29.00 – $47.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 53%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 192%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 177% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $301.64 (above our primary estimate by 418%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $38.00 (from 25 analysts). Our estimate is 53% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples