Rh logo RH - Rh

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 17
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $167.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $240.00
LOW: $130.00
MEDIAN: $155.00
CONSENSUS: $167.50
UPSIDE: 12.74%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.2% below fair value
Current Price $148.57
Bear Case $143.22 3.6% downside ($143.22 - $148.57) / $148.57 = -3.6% $10.23 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $163.68 10.2% upside ($163.68 - $148.57) / $148.57 = 10.2% $10.23 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $184.14 23.9% upside ($184.14 - $148.57) / $148.57 = 23.9% $10.23 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
10.23$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $10.23, the base-case value is $163.68 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (37 analysts) $167.50
Analyst Range $130.00 – $240.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 2%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 62%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples