Resources Connection, Inc. logo RGP - Resources Connection, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 8
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $13.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $13.00
LOW: $13.00
MEDIAN: $13.00
CONSENSUS: $13.00
UPSIDE: 200.93%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 69.5% below fair value
Current Price $4.32
Bear Case $11.33 162.3% upside ($11.33 - $4.32) / $4.32 = 162.3% $0.97 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $14.16 227.8% upside ($14.16 - $4.32) / $4.32 = 227.8% $0.97 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $17.00 293.4% upside ($17.00 - $4.32) / $4.32 = 293.4% $0.97 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.97$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 4.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $13.00 from 18 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $14.16 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples