RGA - Reinsurance Group of America, Incorporated
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$265.83
DETAILS
HIGH:
$291.00
LOW:
$236.00
MEDIAN:
$264.00
CONSENSUS:
$265.83
UPSIDE:
7.82%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
8.8%
6.8%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (8.8%) vs. cost of equity (6.8%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.2x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 8.8% vs. 6.8% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.69x on $205.38 tangible book, implying $346.57 per share. DDM cross-check: $188.91.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (23 analysts)
$265.83
Analyst Range
$236.00 – $291.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
30%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $188.91 (45% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Wall Street's average price target is $265.83 (from 23 analysts). Our estimate is 30% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly