REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$42.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$55.00
LOW:
$27.00
MEDIAN:
$45.00
CONSENSUS:
$42.33
UPSIDE:
115.64%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
1.42$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
13.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.42, the base-case value is $21.36 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (7 analysts)
$42.33
Analyst Range
$27.00 – $55.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
50%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $42.33 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 50% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples