REZI - Resideo Technologies, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$50.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$55.00
LOW:
$45.00
MEDIAN:
$50.00
CONSENSUS:
$50.00
UPSIDE:
40.81%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
1.42$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
25.0x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $50.00 from 7 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $27.09 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $50.00 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples