Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. logo REYN - Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $24.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $24.00
LOW: $24.00
MEDIAN: $24.00
CONSENSUS: $24.00
UPSIDE: 10.14%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.4% below fair value
Current Price $21.79
Bear Case $20.86 4.3% downside ($20.86 - $21.79) / $21.79 = -4.3% $1.77 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $26.07 19.7% upside ($26.07 - $21.79) / $21.79 = 19.7% $1.77 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $31.29 43.6% upside ($31.29 - $21.79) / $21.79 = 43.6% $1.77 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.77$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 12.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $24.00 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $26.07 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples