Reynolds Consumer Products Inc. logo REYN - Reynolds Consumer Products Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $25.00
UPSIDE: 13.38%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 9.3% below fair value
Current Price $22.05
Bear Case $20.02 9.2% downside ($20.02 - $22.05) / $22.05 = -9.2% $1.43 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $24.31 10.2% upside ($24.31 - $22.05) / $22.05 = 10.2% $1.43 × 17x P/E
Bull Case $28.60 29.7% upside ($28.60 - $22.05) / $22.05 = 29.7% $1.43 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

17.0x
1.43$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 15.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.43, the base-case value is $24.31 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (12 analysts) $25.00
Analyst Range $25.00 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 3%

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples