REX American Resources Corporation logo REX - REX American Resources Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $60.00
UPSIDE: 27.50%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 16.4% below fair value
Current Price $47.06
Bear Case $42.81 9.0% downside ($42.81 - $47.06) / $47.06 = -9.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $56.30 19.6% upside ($56.30 - $47.06) / $47.06 = 19.6% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $70.16 49.1% upside ($70.16 - $47.06) / $47.06 = 49.1% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 19.6x
Market is pricing in (growth) 8.8% vs our 11.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $56.30 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions