RES - RPC, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$7.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$7.50
LOW:
$7.50
MEDIAN:
$7.50
CONSENSUS:
$7.50
UPSIDE:
17.19%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Oil & Gas E&P
85% confidence
Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
75.0$/bbl
13.0x
Key Value Driver
Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)
Implied Market Multiple
23.9x
Plain-Language Summary
At $75/bbl oil with a 13x EV/FCF multiple, intrinsic value is $3.72 per share. Range: $2.43 (bear) to $5.35 (bull).
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (36 analysts)
$7.50
Analyst Range
$7.50 – $7.50
Divergence from AlphaVal
50%
Warnings
Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $7.50 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 50% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
- Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
- Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential