RPC, Inc. logo RES - RPC, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 8
HOLD 23
SELL 5
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $7.50
LOW: $7.50
MEDIAN: $7.50
CONSENSUS: $7.50
UPSIDE: 28.21%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Oil & Gas E&P 85% confidence

Primary model: FCF at Price Deck × Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 22.3% above fair value
Current Price $5.85
Bear Case $3.13 46.5% downside ($3.13 - $5.85) / $5.85 = -46.5% FCF $41M × 10x
Fair Value $4.78 18.2% downside ($4.78 - $5.85) / $5.85 = -18.2% FCF $53M × 13x
Bull Case $6.87 17.5% upside ($6.87 - $5.85) / $5.85 = 17.5% FCF $65M × 16x

Adjust Assumptions

75.0$/bbl
13.0x

Key Value Driver

Oil price assumption ($75/bbl base case)

Implied Market Multiple 22.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on free cash flow under different commodity price assumptions and a valuation multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $7.50 from 36 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $4.78 per share.

Warnings

Where you think oil prices will settle long-term drives over 80% of this valuation. The biggest risk isn't the company itself — it's getting the commodity price wrong.
Wall Street's average price target is $7.50 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 52% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — commodity volumes do not compound
  • Geopolitical premiums are real but historically temporary
  • Reserve replacement ratio below 100% for 3 years is existential