ATRenew Inc. logo RERE - ATRenew Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 2
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $5.50
LOW: $5.50
MEDIAN: $5.50
CONSENSUS: $5.50
UPSIDE: 47.45%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 16.9% above fair value
Current Price $3.73
Bear Case $2.79 25.1% downside ($2.79 - $3.73) / $3.73 = -25.1% $0.13 × 21x P/E
Fair Value $3.19 14.4% downside ($3.19 - $3.73) / $3.73 = -14.4% $0.13 × 24x P/E
Bull Case $3.59 3.7% downside ($3.59 - $3.73) / $3.73 = -3.7% $0.13 × 27x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

24.0x
0.13$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (24x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 28.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 24x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.13, the base-case value is $3.19 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1494 USD per CNY.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples