RELY - Remitly Global, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$23.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$27.00
LOW:
$20.00
MEDIAN:
$23.50
CONSENSUS:
$23.50
UPSIDE:
8.90%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
17.9%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (18% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
45%
Implied Market Multiple
21.9x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $23.50 from 13 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $33.64 per share.
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 228% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $23.50 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 54% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions